Author: ISP Admin

As the Three Brotherhood Alliance’s (3BHA) ‘Operation 1027’ gains momentum, China has begun to intervene. China has facilitated dialogue between the conflict parties by hosting two meetings in Kunming between the 3BHA and the State Administration Council (SAC), however no satisfactory resolutions have yet been reached.

Many economies of the world have recovered from their economic recession due to the Covid-19 pandemic, but Myanmar is an exception. By the accumulating adverse effects of the military coup in 2021, Myanmar remains the only economy in East Asia that has not yet returned to pre-pandemic levels of economic activity.

The Karenni Nationalities Defence Force (KNDF) and its allies launched ‘Operation 1111’ on November 11, 2023. During this operation, at least 50 armed clashes with State Administration Council (SAC) forces have been recorded.

Since the launch of ‘Operation 1027,’ at least 28 clashes have broken out between local defense forces and SAC forces in Chin State, where joint resistance forces now control at least seven towns. In Sagaing Region, at least 119 violent incidents have occurred, and joint resistance forces have seized three towns.

Following ‘Operation 1027,’ clashes have resumed in Rakhine State, where the Arakan Army (AA) has seized control of at least 46 SAC military outposts. Significantly, nearly 40 of these SAC outposts were secured by the AA following SAC forces’ withdrawal from their positions.

On October 27, 2023, the three Brotherhood Alliance (3BHA) and its allied forces launched the ‘Operation 1027’, and successfully captured Hesni town, and four border towns including Chinshwehaw. In addition, they have taken control of four border gates at Chinshwehaw, Monekoe, Pangsang, and Kyinsankyawt.

Since the coup, no less than 221 townships (67 per cent of the total) have experienced at least 12,238 armed clashes. Delving into the regional dynamics, Karenni area, Chin State and Tanintharyi Region experienced armed conflicts in all of their townships while in Sagaing and Mandalay Regions, conflicts erupted in 34 out of 37 and 25 out of 28 townships respectively.

The Institute for Strategy and Policy (Myanmar) has released a series of three analytical reports based on our research findings regarding ‘Operation 1027’, initiated by the Three Brotherhood Alliance and allied forces. This latest report, ISP OnPoint No.19 published on December 5, focuses on the question of new political imagination and a pragmatic strategy.

YANGON, Myanmar — When in November Sai Win Myat Oo, a candidate from the Shan Nationalities League for Democracy, ran for a seat in the Parliament of Shan State, in southern Myanmar, he was confident in his chances of being re-elected. The people of his constituency had consistently voted for the local Shan party in […]