ISP Publications

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#FreeMinZin

Min Zin was wrongfully detained on June 3, 2026, while traveling to Kunming, China, to attend an academic workshop. ISP-Myanmar calls for his immediate and unconditional release. This #FreeMinZin information hub brings together news reports and articles covering Min Zin’s case, official statements and open letters calling for his release, and other relevant information. This page will be updated regularly as new information becomes available.
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Analysis

issue:OP2026-06, 9 Oct 2026
ISP OnPoint

Myanmar Military’s Offensive on Rakhine: Preliminary Analysis and Three Scenarios

Clashes in Rakhine State appear to be taking the shape of a total war, diverging from conflict dynamics in other regions and carrying a higher risk of atrocities. The Rakhine front is critical to the Myanmar Armed Forces (MAF) for both strategic and prestige reasons. Consequently, the MAF is launching a massive offensive with thousands of troops to recapture territory controlled by the Arakan Army (ULA/AA).
9 Oct 2026
Recap Memo

Dawei, Yadanabon, and Myitsone – Questions for Myanmar’s Development Dreams

Examined through this lens, efforts to revive these megaprojects raise serious questions. The Myitsone Dam project lacks public consent and suffers from weak foundational infrastructure and distribution systems. Yadanabon Cyber City, dubbed "Myanmar’s Silicon Valley," remains far easier said than done, lacking vital components such as reliable electricity, digital infrastructure, legal protections, and a skilled workforce.

The State of Myanmar: ISP–Myanmar’s Annual Strategic Review and Foresight 2025–2026

This report examines the defining events of 2025, maps potential scenarios for 2026, and identifies the strategic trajectories that demand attention. This report will analyse unsparingly and precisely using the best data available.
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ISP Events

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September 19, 2026

Dawei, Yadanabon, and Myitsone – Questions for Myanmar’s Development Dreams

Examined through this lens, efforts to revive these megaprojects raise serious questions. The Myitsone Dam project lacks public consent and suffers from weak foundational infrastructure and distribution systems. Yadanabon Cyber City, dubbed "Myanmar’s Silicon Valley," remains far easier said than done, lacking vital components such as reliable electricity, digital infrastructure, legal protections, and a skilled workforce.
February 28, 2026

The Impact of the Conflict Economy: The Scars of Northern Shan

When people face such dire situations, they initially voice their dissatisfaction and protest ("Voice"). When that fails to bring change, they simply abandon the region and leave ("Exit"). If they cannot leave, they are forced to silently endure and adapt to the system ("Loyalty"). Like vegetables thrown into a jar of pickles, they turn sour alongside everything else—doing whatever it takes, chasing the money, and simply surviving.

Data Gallery

Mapping

Conflict Condition in the Dawei SEZ Area

Data Matters

Post-Coup Foreign Direct Investment Dropped by Over 74 Percent

Mapping

Over 170 Fatalities from Mass Killings in Six Months

Data Matters

United League of Arakan Institutionalization Status Across Regions

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ISP Mapping

issue:M2026-031, 2 Oct 2026

Over 170 Fatalities from Mass Killings in Six Months

In the six months following General Ye Win Oo’s appointment as Commander-in-Chief of Myanmar Defense Services, at least seven incidents of mass civilian killings occurred nationwide, resulting in at least 173 civilian fatalities.
issue:M2026-030, 24 Sep 2026

Myanmar Armed Forces Conducts At Least 1,583 Air Strikes in Five Months

During the five-month tenure of new Commander-in-Chief General Ye Win Oo, the Myanmar Armed Forces (MAF) conducted at least 1,583 air strikes nationwide.
issue:M2026-025, 19 Aug 2026

41 Townships in Myanmar Suffered Floods Within One Month

Heavy rainfall between July 10 and August 11, 2026, caused severe flooding across 41 townships in Ayeyarwady Region, Rakhine State, Sagaing Region, Mandalay Region, and Bago Region, and could affect at least 1.3 million people.
issue:M2026-024, 17 Aug 2026

Territories Under the Control of ULA/AA

The United League of Arakan/Arakan Army (ULA/AA) launched its offensive in Rakhine State on November 13, 2023. It currently controls 92.6 percent of Rakhine State, along with the Paletwa township.
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ISP Shorts

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ISP Multimedia Clips

5 Aug 2026

Shan State Scam Networks Adapt Despite Raids

Despite 19 raids againts Kyar Phyant scam syndicates, these operations expanded across 19 Shan State townships in the post-Operation 1027 period.

4 Aug 2026

Reopening Border Trade Amid Political and Military Pressure

The Min Aung Hlaing regime is employing political and military leverage to force open vital border trade routes with neighboring countries.

31 Jul 2026

China’s Regional Connectivity Plan Bypasses India

China’s proposed economic corridor to Bangladesh via Myanmar aims to circumvent India.

30 Jul 2026

The Conscription Market and the Predatory War Economy

Over two years since the junta enforced its conscription law, forced recruitment and raids on homes and businesses have escalated nationwide.

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Visual Explainers

21 Nov 2025
Socioeconomic Studies

Raising the Lantern’s Wick High

Survey findings reveal that trade disruptions have caused shortages of daily consumer goods and basic medicines, and prices for these goods have increased by one and a half to twice, or even three or four times, in some areas. The healthcare sector has been hit hard, particularly due to medicine shortages, price surges, and difficult access to healthcare facilities.
24 Oct 2025
Climate Conflict Nexus

Climate Shocks and Response Capacity in Myanmar – A Survey

The findings reveal that nearly half of the surveyed townships faced multiple climate-related challenges, including droughts, floods, heavy rainfall from cyclones and typhoons, extreme heat, and landslides. These events caused substantial damage to agricultural outputs, severely affecting rural livelihoods in an economy largely dependent on agriculture. Despite the devastating impacts, communities remain largely helpless: neither military government institutions, the resistance, nor ethnic organizations can provide sufficient recovery support.
22 Jun 2024
Conflict, Peace & Security

Operation 1027 and its Impacts on Myanmar’s Political Landscape

The Brotherhood Alliance (3BHA), composed of the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA), the Ta’ang National Liberation Army (TNLA), and the Arakan Army (AA), launched “Operation 1027” on October 27, 2023. Their objectives included combating online fraud and gambling, asserting self-defense rights, maintaining territorial control, and resisting military oppression. This operation led 3BHA to secure […]
22 Jun 2024
Conflict, Peace & Security

Foreign Diplomatic Efforts to Meet with Aung San Suu Kyi During Her Detention

During her detention from July 20, 1989, to July 14, 2023, foreign diplomatic efforts were consistently made to meet with Aung San Suu Kyi. Despite facing various challenges and restrictions during this period, diplomats from different countries actively sought opportunities to engage with Daw Aung San Suu Kyi and discuss matters concerning democracy and human […]
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Got a Sharp Take? Share it on the ISP Column

We’re looking for bold, original short perspectives on Myanmar and regional affairs that challenge the way people think. Submissions are accepted on a rolling basis — add your voice to the conversation that shapes ideas.
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ISP In the News

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